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Social Security 2023: Americans Have Underestimated Their Benefits by $5,000



Social Security 2023: Americans Have Underestimated Their Benefits by $5,000

Social Security 2023: Americans Have Underestimated Their Benefits by $5,000.Many senior citizens in the U.S. find themselves pleasantly surprised upon receiving their initial Social Security checks. A recent study by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) reveals that individuals often underestimate their future Social Security benefits, resulting in higher-than-expected payouts.

Social Security 2023: Americans Have Underestimated Their Benefits by $5,000

However, while a larger sum is always a delight, misjudging Social Security can disrupt retirement plans and lead to unforeseen complications.

Age Estimation vs. Benefit Amount

The NBER study highlights that while seniors can accurately predict the age at which they’ll claim Social Security, they frequently underestimate the amount they’ll receive. On average, individuals undervalue their benefits by $1,896, which is an 11.5% error compared to the average benefit. Shockingly, 25% of respondents miscalculated their benefits by a whopping $5,167 or more. Conversely, 10% overestimated their benefits by a minimum of $5,319.

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The Double-Edged Sword of Higher Benefits

Receiving a larger Social Security check than anticipated isn’t necessarily a boon. Accurate retirement planning is crucial. One potential pitfall of underestimating benefits is the possibility of increased taxable income, which could lead to higher costs during retirement.

Dennis Shirshikov, a finance professor at the City University of New York, warns of the dangers of such miscalculations. Seniors might either save excessively or live too conservatively, depriving themselves of a better retirement quality. Conversely, some might venture into risky investments to augment their perceived insufficient retirement funds.

Shirshikov recounts a cautionary tale of a couple who, believing their retirement savings were inadequate, invested heavily in a high-risk stock. Their lack of investment experience and a subsequent market downturn resulted in significant losses, a situation that might have been averted with a clearer understanding of their Social Security benefits.

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Why the Miscalculation?

Although the study participants were largely accurate about their retirement age, many faltered when estimating their benefits. Renee Fry, CEO of Gentreo, explains that the age at which one claims benefits significantly influences the monthly amount. The Social Security system’s intricacies, such as varying benefits based on the claiming age, can be confusing.

Moreover, many might not fully comprehend the Social Security benefits calculation or might lack accurate information. Some might also mistakenly believe that their benefits will be reduced due to various factors, leading to underestimations.

Bridging the Knowledge Gap

Shirshikov and Al Kushner of Real Easy Medicare both agree that there’s a significant gap in understanding the Social Security system’s complexities. Factors like work history, retirement age, and spousal benefits can greatly influence the final amount, and many might not be aware of these nuances.

Shirshikov shares an example of a student unaware of spousal benefits, mistakenly believing her Social Security would only be based on her earnings.

Fortunately, tools are available to help individuals plan better. Fry points out that the Social Security Administration offers a free estimate of potential monthly benefits on their website,, aiding in more accurate retirement planning.

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