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Fuel Price Increase – What the Next Petrol Price Increase in SA? Analysis



Fuel Price Increase - What the Next Petrol Price Increase in SA? Analysis

Fuel Price Increase – What the Next Petrol Price Increase in SA? Analysis. Fuel prices in South Africa are subject to meticulous regulation, with adjustments occurring every first Wednesday of the month by the government.

Fuel Price Increase – What the Next Petrol Price Increase in SA? Analysis

This analysis delves into the intricate details surrounding the Fuel Price Increase, specifically exploring the factors influencing these fluctuations and attempting to predict the timing of the next petrol price adjustment.

Fuel Price Landscape in South Africa

In South Africa, the fuel prices are intricately tied to both domestic and international factors. The government regulates the prices, lagging behind international trends by a month. Presently, petrol prices stand at R 23.44 (LRP), R 23.44 (Unleaded 93), and R 23.90 (Unleaded 95). Diesel is priced at R 24.16 (500 ppm) and R 24.40 (50 ppm). These figures are subject to change, contingent on various factors and geographical locations.

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Recent Developments: Slate Levy and November Adjustments

Recently, the government declared a negative slate balance of R 6.2 billion, leading to an increase in the slate levy. Implemented from November 1, the adjustments include significant decreases in diesel and petrol prices. The slate levy, now at 52.62 c/l, underscores the government’s efforts to balance fuel pricing dynamics.

South Africa Fuel Price Dynamics

Similar to global trends, South Africa’s petrol prices hinge on the price of crude oil and the Rand/Dollar Exchange rate. The current prices, effective until December 5, will be reevaluated, considering a myriad of factors. A detailed analysis is expected in December to unveil any potential increases.

Deciphering Fuel Price Components Taxes, Levies, and More

The fuel price structure in South Africa is a culmination of various components, both internal and external. Internal factors, such as marketing margins, retail, taxes, levies, and transport costs, are within the government’s control. External factors, like the dollar price of crude oil in international markets multiplied by the exchange rate ($/R), are beyond direct influence.

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Understanding the Basic Fuel Price Formula

Introduced in 2003, the basic fuel price formula replaced the old IBLC formula. It comprises internal factors, controlled by the government, and external factors, constantly changing and impacting fuel prices. The international oil prices and exchange rates, beyond the industry’s control, are key players in this complex equation.

Factors Influencing Fuel Prices in South Africa

The fuel prices in South Africa are shaped by several components:

  • Slate Levy: A self-adjusting mechanism to manage fuel prices.
  • General Fuel Levy: A tax on each liter of petrol, administered by the National Treasury.
  • Road Accident Fund Levy: Provides injury insurance in case of accidents.
  • Basic Fuel Price: Represents the cost to import and transport petrol.
  • Wholesale and Retail Margins: Charged by oil companies and refineries, respectively.


For a more in-depth understanding of fuel pricing components, consumers are encouraged to explore the authorized website of the DMRE. As fuel prices continue to impact consumers, staying informed about the intricate dynamics governing these changes becomes imperative for all stakeholders in South Africa.

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